Is Right Now a Good Time to Invest in the Stock Market? Here's What History Says | The Motley Fool (2024)

History has good news about the future of the market.

As the stock market reaches new heights, it can be an exciting time to invest. However, while many investors are feeling optimistic about the future, others are worried that perhaps the best opportunity to buy has already passed.

Buying when stock prices are at their peaks isn't necessarily the best financial move, though if the market continues to surge, now may be your best chance to invest before prices rise even further. That said, nobody knows for certain where the market is headed, so whether prices will continue soaring is anyone's guess.

All of this can be confusing to investors who just want to make the most of their money. Although past performance doesn't equate to future returns, it can be helpful to see what history says about times like these.

Is it safe to invest right now?

Stock prices have surged significantly over the past 18 months. The S&P 500 is up by 45% since it bottomed out in October 2022, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq has soared by a whopping 58% in that time. Investing now, then, means paying much higher prices than you would if you'd bought a year or two ago.

But does that mean it's a bad time to invest? History says no.

Based on the stock market's historic performance, there's never necessarily a bad time to buy -- as long as you keep a long-term outlook. The market can be volatile in the short term (even in strong economic times), but it has a perfect track record of seeing positive returns over many years. The key, though, is to invest sooner rather than later.

For example, say you had invested in an in January 2011. At that point, the index was well into its bull market following the Great Recession, and it had soared by a whopping 86% from its lowest point in 2009.

At the time, it may have seemed like you'd missed the best chance to buy. Yet by today, you'd still have earned total returns of more than 313%.

Is Right Now a Good Time to Invest in the Stock Market? Here's What History Says | The Motley Fool (2)

^SPX data by YCharts

Now let's say that instead of investing in 2011, you waited a couple of years and bought in January 2013. By today, you'd only have earned total returns of around 265%.

Is Right Now a Good Time to Invest in the Stock Market? Here's What History Says | The Motley Fool (3)

^SPX data by YCharts

Finally, say you decided to hold off just a little longer, eventually investing in January 2015. In that scenario, your total returns by today would drop to just 153%.

Is Right Now a Good Time to Invest in the Stock Market? Here's What History Says | The Motley Fool (4)

^SPX data by YCharts

Of course, the prime opportunity to buy would have been in 2009 when the S&P 500 reached its lowest point. But at the time, nobody knew that a bull market was about to begin, and investing in 2011 still would have been far more lucrative than waiting just a few more years.

Now, this doesn't necessarily mean that the market will follow a similar path going forward. But if history shows us one thing, it's that staying invested for the long haul is far more profitable than trying to buy at just the right moment.

The key to maximizing your earnings

Keeping a long-term outlook is critical to building wealth, but it's equally important to choose the right investments. Strong stocks are far more likely to see consistent growth over time, and they also have a better chance of recovering from the inevitable downturns the market will face in the future.

There's no single correct way to invest, but the strongest stocks are from companies with healthy underlying business fundamentals -- including everything from solid financials to a competitive advantage to a knowledgeable leadership team.

When you have a robust portfolio full of healthy stocks, you won't need to worry nearly as much about the future of the market. While all stocks can experience short-term volatility, strong companies are more likely to ride out the storm and see positive returns over time.

Investing can be daunting even when the stock market is thriving, but it remains one of the most effective ways to generate wealth. By getting started early and investing in the right places, you can protect your money as much as possible while still maximizing your long-term earnings potential.

Is Right Now a Good Time to Invest in the Stock Market? Here's What History Says | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Is Right Now a Good Time to Invest in the Stock Market? Here's What History Says | The Motley Fool? ›

Based on the stock market's historic performance, there's never necessarily a bad time to buy -- as long as you keep a long-term outlook. The market can be volatile in the short term (even in strong economic times), but it has a perfect track record of seeing positive returns over many years.

Is the stock market a good investment right now? ›

Now is a good time to make stock purchases, but this should be done in a measured fashion. IBD is currently recommending 40% to 60% market exposure. Investors should also be building watchlists of high-quality stocks.

Is now a good time to put money in the stock market? ›

Stock prices have surged significantly over the past 18 months. The S&P 500 is up by 45% since it bottomed out in October 2022, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq has soared by a whopping 58% in that time. Investing now, then, means paying much higher prices than you would if you'd bought a year or two ago.

Is Motley Fool a ripoff? ›

The majority of reviews rate Motley Fool positively overall. But there are some complaints about high pressure sales tactics, misleading claims and poor customer service response. Despite some negatives, most say the stock research merits the membership fee.

Is this the right time to invest in the stock market? ›

There is no better time to start investing. It is very difficult to time the markets and although the markets are due for a correction, it would not be wise to wait further. Also, when it comes to SIPs, there is not much merit in timing the markets. We would suggest you invest in different mutual fund categories.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term.

At what age should you get out of the stock market? ›

There are no set ages to get into or to get out of the stock market. While older clients may want to reduce their investing risk as they age, this doesn't necessarily mean they should be totally out of the stock market.

What is the stock market outlook for 2024? ›

The market sees a greater than 80% chance of at least five rate cuts from current levels by the end of 2024. Investor optimism about the economic outlook has improved dramatically from a year ago, but there's still a risk that Fed policy tightening could tip the economy into a recession in 2024.

What are Motley Fool's top 10 stocks? ›

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Chewy, Fiverr International, Fortinet, Nvidia, PayPal, Salesforce, and Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short March 2024 $67.50 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

What is the Warren Buffett Rule? ›

The Buffett Rule is the basic principle that no household making over $1 million annually should pay a smaller share of their income in taxes than middle-class families pay. Warren Buffett has famously stated that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary, but as this report documents this situation is not uncommon.

Will the stock market go up in 2024? ›

Anthony Denier, CEO of the trading platform Webull, says he believes the stock market will ultimately post a positive return in 2024 as investors anticipate interest rate cuts by the Fed.

Which month is best to invest in the stock market? ›

April stands out as one of the best months of the year to be invested in the stock market. Other key months, according to Mitchell include: July, increasing 75% of the time for an average gain of 2.4%. November is the top month of the year, historically, with an average gain of 2.5% and moving higher 80% of the time.

Is the stock market expected to go up in 2024? ›

The S&P 500 generated an impressive 26.29% total return in 2023, rebounding from an 18.11% setback in 2022. Heading into 2024, investors are optimistic the same macroeconomic tailwinds that fueled the stock market's 2023 rally will propel the S&P 500 to new all-time highs in 2024.

Will the stock market recover in 2024? ›

While there could be a growth slowdown in the first half of 2024, experts believe growth should resume in the second half of the year. Americans faced many financial challenges this year, from persistent inflation to increasingly expensive debt.

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