Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (2024)

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When it comes to retirement, Americans have a new number in mind — $1.46 million — for how much they think they will need to live comfortably, according to new research from Northwestern Mutual.

That estimate is up 53% since 2020, when Americans said they would need $951,000, as the cost of living has surged in recent years. It is also up 15% from last year, when respondents said they would need $1.27 million.

For many savers, that goal may sound daunting, particularly as U.S. adults have an average of $88,400 currently saved toward retirement, the study found. Likewise, a recent CNBC survey showed that 53% of Americans feel like they are behind on their retirement savings.

However, experts say having a "magic number" in mind should not be a priority when planning for your retirement.

"The number isn't the emphasis," said John Roland, a certified financial planner and private wealth advisor at Northwestern Mutual's Beyond Financial Advisors.

"That retirement number is really just a starting point for a broader conversation on how to make clear, competent decisions in that phase of your financial life when you're distributing money versus when you're accumulating money," he said.

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Fidelity Investments, the nation's largest provider of 401(k) savings plans, has moved away from providing broad estimates for what is needed to retire, said Rita Assaf, vice president of retirement products at Fidelity.

"There is no one size fits all," Assaf said.

She said your income likely differs from other people's. Other factors — such as how much of your income you hope to replace in retirement, where you plan to live, the lifestyle you plan to have, your health-care costs, and longevity — will all impact the actual number you will need.

"It really depends on your personal situation," Assaf said. "We do think having a retirement plan helps with that, but it's got to be a personal retirement plan."

The number experts say to focus on

Financial advisors agree that having a high savings rate, along with appropriate asset allocations, is one of the most significant components of building wealth. That's the number to focus on, they say.

Fidelity provides a framework for evaluating your retirement savings progress based on your age.

The framework includes saving your salary by age 30, which then increases to twice your salary by age 35, three times by 40 and continues to go up until the goal of 10 times by age 67.

"That may or may not be feasible depending on where you're at," Assaf said of the savings goals. "But it just gives an easier view of what to do."

The framework assumes that the investor will start saving at age 25 and save 15% annually.

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (1)

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Recent retirement research from Vanguard recommends that workers ramp up their annual retirement savings rate to 12% to 15% of their incomes and invest in an appropriate asset mix for their ages. Doing so can help improve their sustainable investment rate — the highest level of pre-retirement income they can replace.

"I would much rather have clients that save 15% of their income and get a 5% rate of return than save 1% of their income and get a 15% rate of return," Roland said.

He said that to save money, you need not spend it, a concept emphasized in the book "The Millionaire Next Door."

"Many people who have significant wealth, you would never know because they don't look visibly wealthy," Roland said.

"Those are the people that, as they save and accumulate wealth, oftentimes have accumulated more than they ever anticipated," he said.

If setting your retirement savings deferral rate to 15% now feels like too much of a financial stretch, you may instead try to boost your contributions by 1% per year. Experts say incremental increases can make a big difference in the long run.

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Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (2024)

FAQs

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead? ›

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead. Americans' “magic number” savings goal for retirement has increased by over 50% since 2020. But experts say the secret to building true wealth is having a high savings rate.

Do you actually need $1.46 million to retire comfortably? ›

In the federal survey, the typical senior who reported a satisfactory retirement had $50,000 to $100,000 in savings. “It's impossible to find any evidence that seniors need even a fraction of $1.46 million in savings to be financially secure,” Biggs wrote.

How many Americans have $1 million in retirement? ›

According to the Federal Reserve's latest Survey of Consumer Finances, only about 10% of American retirees have managed to save $1 million or more. This leaves a significant 90% who fall short of this milestone.

How much will you need to retire America's Magic number surges? ›

Americans' “magic number” for retirement is surging to an all-time high — rising much faster than the rate of inflation while swelling more than 50% since the onset of the pandemic.

What's the magic number to retire? ›

And this estimate is no different. Northwestern Mutual surveyed 4,588 adults and found: The new “magic” number for a comfortable retirement is $1.46 million. It's up 15% from last year's $1.27 million number and is also an eye-popping 53% higher than the 2020 estimate.

Is $3,000,000 enough to retire at 65? ›

Summary. $3 million should be more than enough to fund your retirement, even if you choose to retire early. A number of factors are at play when determining how long $3 million will last, including your investment strategy and retirement lifestyle.

Is $4,000,000 enough to retire at 55? ›

You can probably retire at 55 if you have $4 million in savings. This amount, according to conventional estimates, can reliably produce enough income to pay for a comfortable retirement.

At what age should you have $1 million in retirement? ›

Based on this, if you retire at age 65 and live until you turn 84, $1 million will probably be enough retirement savings for you.

How many people have 1 million in their 401k? ›

The amount of retirement millionaires continues to grow, too: As of March 2024, the number of 401(k) accounts with balances of at least $1 million rose to 885,138, up nearly 12%, from year-end 2023, and nearly 30% year over year.

How long will $200 K last in retirement? ›

Retiring with $200,000 in savings will roughly equate to $15,000 annual income across 20 years. If you choose to retire early, you will need additional savings in order to have a comfortable retirement.

What is a comfortable amount of money to retire with? ›

By age 40, you should have accumulated three times your current income for retirement. By retirement age, it should be 10 to 12 times your income at that time to be reasonably confident that you'll have enough funds. Seamless transition — roughly 80% of your pre-retirement income.

How long does $1000000 last after 60? ›

How long will $1 million in retirement savings last? In more than 20 U.S. states, a million-dollar nest egg can cover retirees' living expenses for at least 20 years, a new analysis shows. It's worth noting that most Americans are nowhere near having that much money socked away.

What is a comfortable retirement income for a couple? ›

According to the 2020 Census, the yearly average retirement income for couples is less than $101,500. However, it's important to note that the average income and median income are different. Median retirement income for a couple is lower – at only $72,800.

How much 401k to retire comfortably? ›

The amount you need to retire depends on your personal situation, including where you plan to live in retirement, your lifestyle and your sources of income outside of your 401(k). However, one widely accepted guideline is that you'll need around 80% of your pre-retirement income in retirement.

Do you really need $1 million to retire? ›

"Tempting as it is to put a single number on retirement, the answer to how much you'll need to save really depends on the life you expect to lead," Storey says. "For some people, $1 million in savings may be plenty; others might need more — or less."

How much money do you think you ll actually need to retire comfortably? ›

By age 40, you should have accumulated three times your current income for retirement. By retirement age, it should be 10 to 12 times your income at that time to be reasonably confident that you'll have enough funds. Seamless transition — roughly 80% of your pre-retirement income.

How long will $1 million last in retirement? ›

Around the U.S., a $1 million nest egg can cover an average of 18.9 years worth of living expenses, GoBankingRates found. But where you retire can have a profound impact on how far your money goes, ranging from as a little as 10 years in Hawaii to more than than 20 years in more than a dozen states.

What percentage of retirees have $4 million dollars? ›

According to a 2020 working paper from the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, the top 1% of retirees—which a retiree with $4 million in assets would fall into—can expect to pay about 22.7% in state and federal taxes.

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